Rating the Greatest Baseball Players of All Time |
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Thursday, August 07, 2014
Part 3: the 1950s.
Our alternative history Hall
so far:
20th century
players: Ty Cobb, Honus Wagner, Babe Ruth, Walter Johnson, Christy
Mathewson; Nap Lajoie, Tris Speaker, Pete Alexander; George Sisler
and Eddie Collins; Rogers Hornsby and Rube Waddell, Lou Gehrig, Sam
Crawford, Eddie Plank, Harry Heilmann, Three-Finger Brown, Frankie
Frisch, Frank Baker, Mickey Cochrane, Bill Terry, Goose Goslin,
Burleigh Grimes, Red Faber, Eppa Rixey, Edd Roush, Heinie Groh, Lefty
Grove, Gabby Hartnett, Charlie Gehringer, Carl Hubbell.
19th century
players: Cap Anson, Buck Ewing, Willie Keeler, Cy Young; Ed
Delahanty, Old Hoss Radbourn, Herman Long, and King Kelly; Jimmy
Collins and Fred Clarke; Kid Nichols and Amos Rusie, John M. Ward,
Roger Connor, Pud Galvin, Dan Brouthers, Tim Keefe, Billy Hamilton,
John Clarkson, Jesse Burkett, Mickey Welch, George Davis, Bid McPhee,
Bill Dahlen, Jake Beckley, Jim O'Rourke, Bobby Mathews.
Non-players/pioneers: John
McGraw, Connie Mack, George Wright, Morgan Bulkeley, Ban Johnson,
Alexander Cartwright, Henry Chadwick, Al Spalding, Judge Landis.
We'll pick up our imaginary
exercise in 1950. The Veterans' Committee, tasked with electing 19th
century players, has declared its mission complete and disbanded
itself, pending more research that reveals other deserving players,
such as those from the very early years before league play. In the
meantime, our version of the BBWAA continues to vote with statistics
provided by our researchers, but mainly just pass judgment on those
newly eligible five years after their retirement. A steady stream of
candidates has been picked, pleasing Coopertown by providing for
sufficient inductions, but not so many nor so many at a time as to
cheapen the Hall.
On the 1950 ballot Al
Simmons is elected. Chuck Klein misses because our researchers see
him as a product of his home parks. It is a good, positive reversal
of the earlier quick election of George Sisler although Klein remains
eligible.
1951 marks the eligibility
of several players whose careers were somewhat artificially extended
by World War II. As a result, there are more good players on the
ballot than is typical. Jimmie Foxx and Paul Waner are elected,
others who might be qualified are passed by...for now. Joe Cronin
and Bob Johnson, Lon Warneke and Paul Derringer draw interest but
miss election.
1952 comes and Joe Cronin,
one of last year's eligibles, is elected along with Ted Lyons. Tommy
Bridges tops the also-rans. In 1953 Mel Ott and Hank Greenberg get
in, but there is some controversy among others who have not yet
gained election. Billy Herman, Stan Hack, Ernie Lombardi, Red
Ruffing, Mel Harder, and Dizzy Dean draw lots of interest, but fall
short of election. Is the system broken? Perhaps there are just a
lot of good candidates coming onto the ballot. The Hall's directors
express satisfaction with the process.
In real 1953, the VC got
active and elected several non-players: Bill Klem and Tommy
Connolly, representing NL and AL umpires, respectively; Harry Wright,
a name from the beginnings of baseball; and Ed Barrow, one of the the
first to fit the role of "general manager," from the
Yankees. Our VC will concur with these picks, and with their
research will make two other picks from the game's beginnings; Davy
Force and Joe Start, stars whose beginnings predate the league
version of the game.
Perhaps hearing the
criticism, our BBWAA accelerates their pace. No more than two
players have been elected in any one year for some time, but 1954
brings three: Bill Dickey, Red Ruffing, and Ducky Medwick. The
grumbling slows but doesn't stop as some favorites still have not
gained election. This time Arky Vaughan falls short among new
eligibles.
The 1955 class of 1949
retirees is judged not to have any worthy candidates (Augie Galan and
Dixie Walker are the best of the lot) and so some old choices are
taken: Arky Vaughan and Stan Hack are elected. A controversy over
Dizzy Dean's non-election ensues: are only 150 wins enough, with a
high peak and emphasis on the "fame?"
1956 features the election
of Luke Appling and Billy Herman. Dean is once again passed over,
his short career the main issue. Joe Gordon and Bucky Walters also
fall short in the voting.
The real-life BBWAA did not
hold an election in 1957, having decided to vote only in
even-numbered years; a Veteran's Committee would vote in odd-numbered
years. We will pick up here with a VC that votes on non-players,
whom we have been largely ignoring, and considers older players as
well.
Our 1957 brings the election
of Joe DiMaggio, along with longtime teammate Joe Gordon. The VC
chooses their manager, Joe McCarthy. Bobby Doerr draws some votes.
1958 sees the election of
Lou Boudreau, and the voters also buckle under popular pressure and
elect Dizzy Dean. Dean is an anomaly in our Hall, but gains a place
due mainly to the "Fame" part of the Hall.
Our BBWAA elects Johnny Mize
in 1959, and the VC goes back over its research and chooses Zack
Wheat from the past as a worthy candidate. Bob Elliott and Bobo
Newsom draw interest but fall short.
So overall it is a quiet
decade, with many worthy players recognized. We have come through something of
a down period because of the effects of the war, which cut into the
careers of many players. Several elected spent a few years in the
military. Others likely did not make it because of their service.
This effect will continue for a while into the 1960s.
So, with the 1950s
concluded, elected this decade are:
20th century
players: Al Simmons, Jimmie Foxx, Paul Waner, Joe Cronin, Ted Lyons,
Mel Ott, Hank Greenberg, Bill Dickey, Red Ruffing, Ducky Medwick,
Arky Vaughan, Stan Hack, Luke Appling, Billy Herman, Joe DiMaggio,
Joe Gordon, Lou Boudreau, Dizzy Dean, Johnny Mize, Zack Wheat.
19th century
players: Harry Wright, Davy Force, Joe Start.
Non-players: Bill Klem,
Tommy Connolly, Ed Barrow, Joe McCarthy.
Tuesday, August 05, 2014
Part 2: The 1940s.
In our alternative Hall, we
have 33 members compared to the 26 in the actual HOF in Cooperstown
at this point, the first induction ceremony in 1939. To recap, our
members are:
20th century
players: Ty Cobb, Honus Wagner, Babe Ruth, Walter Johnson, Christy
Mathewson; Nap Lajoie, Tris Speaker, Pete Alexander; George Sisler
and Eddie Collins; Rogers Hornsby and Rube Waddell, Lou Gehrig.
19th century
players: Cap Anson, Buck Ewing, Willie Keeler, Cy Young; Ed
Delahanty, Old Hoss Radbourn, Herman Long, and King Kelly; Jimmy
Collins and Fred Clarke; Kid Nichols and Amos Rusie.
Non-players/pioneers: John
McGraw, Connie Mack, George Wright, Morgan Bulkeley, Ban Johnson,
Alexander Cartwright, Henry Chadwick, Al Spalding.
In real life, there were no
elections in 1940 or 1941. No veterans' committee met, and the BBWAA
had decided to vote only every three years: they would vote in 1942,
then in 1945. In our imaginary world, the BBWAA will continue to
vote yearly on 20th century players, and a committee of
experts will continue to vote on 19th century players.
Also, the research commissioned will begin to produce a comprehensive
record of the game's statistics. The effective jump-start of the
Baseball Encyclopedia project and the Society for American Baseball
Research about 35 years ahead of their actual existence will guide
our voters as we get into the 1940s. Certainly the country was
distracted with the war breaking out in Europe and soon to envelop
the whole world, but we will suppose that does not affect our
progress, though it might limit some Cooperstown induction ceremonies
due to travel restrictions.
So, in our imaginary world,
the Cooperstown people make it clear that a yearly induction is
needed to keep visitors coming to the Hall and the game itself funds
research to help the process. Old Reach Guides and the archives of
The Sporting News, as well as city newspapers that covered the game,
provide the materials and the relationship of baseball and the press
helps makes these tools available.
We also get firmer rules.
We will start enforcing the five-year rule in 1940, that players are
not eligible to be elected until five years after they retire. We
think of that now as always being the case but it was not in effect
in the real world until the 1960s. Players including Lefty Grove,
Joe DiMaggio, and Warren Spahn received votes while still active.
Had this policy been in effect all the time Babe Ruth could not have
been inducted until 1941. This will be another by-product of our
research.
The effect of the research
is that now, ballots are sent out with an information packet,
presenting credentials of a number of candidates, and voters are
allowed to select up to ten. With that here are our alternative
votes.
1940: the BBWAA vote elects
Sam Crawford and Eddie Plank, based on the information of the
researchers. The 19th century voters, with more to rely
on than faulty memories, select John Montgomery Ward, Roger Connor
and Pud Galvin.
1941: The BBWAA picks Harry
Heilmann and Three-Finger Brown. The Veterans choose Dan Brouthers
and Tim Keefe.
In real life, the 1942 vote
elected Rogers Hornsby. We've already elected him, so our 1942
ballot chooses recent retiree Frankie Frisch plus Frank (Home Run)
Baker, while the VC selects Sliding Billy Hamilton and John Clarkson.
In 1943 again there was no
actual vote; our voters are still at it, though. The BBWAA chooses
Mickey Cochrane and Bill Terry. The VC picks Jesse Burkett and
Mickey Welch, getting the last of the 19th century
300-game winners in addition to "The Crab". We won't quite
follow the love for voting in all of the 1890s Baltimore Orioles,
however.
In the real 1944 Judge
Landis died, and a hastily-called meeting of the Veteran's Committee
voted him, and only him, into the Hall he helped create. Landis was
the first and to this point only Commissioner of Baseball. Our
committee will likewise elect Landis with the Veterans also picking
George Davis and Bid McPhee. The BBWAA, increasingly concentrating
on recent retireees, chooses Goose Goslin and a somewhat
controversial pick in Burleigh Grimes. Few pitchers without 300 wins
have been selected so far, but Grimes with 270 victories tops the NL
list for many years around. Only Grove wins more in this era. Rube
Waddell and his 193 victories are controversially used as a case in
point in this vote.
Now, the voters returned.
The war was winding down in 1945, and the BBWAA voted but could not
elect anyone with so many candidates to consider but no direction and
no momentum from an annual election. Frank Chance came the closest,
polling 72.5 percent with 75 percent needed. He was seven votes
short of election. With that result, the Veterans' Committee went
hog-wild, electing ten men. Some were qualified and some not.
On our own vote, only one
truly qualified retiree from 1939 comes up, and that's Gehrig,
already in. The BBWAA reaches back for two pitchers, Red Faber and
Eppa Rixey, both with over 250 wins. This somewhat eases the
controversy aroung the election of Grimes, but there is talk about
diluting the Hall. Debate: is 250 wins to be the standard? The VC
goes for Bill Dahlen and Jake Beckley.
Another real-time election
in 1946, and again the BBWAA could not choose anyone. They even
tried a runoff election, putting the top 20 on another ballot. It
didn't work, as top vote-getter Frank Chance went from 71% on the
first ballot to 57% on the runoff. The VC again decided to make up
the difference and elected 11, including Tinker, Evers, and Chance as
a group. Those who argue for a "small Hall" lost their
argument right there. Our procedure and inclusiveness to this point
will eventually have the effect of keeping our Hall smaller.
In our imaginary timeline
the 1946 BBWAA selects Edd Roush and Heinie Groh, while the VC takes
Orator Jim O'Rourke and Bobby Mathews, and declares its work to be
done. More 19th century players, including those from
pre-league days, will have to be chosen through more research that
could take many years and the VC decides that it will not be a yearly
voting committee though it will meet every year for discussion. This
becomes established in a group much like the Society for American
Baseball Research in our real history, but with a more official
standing.
With the logjam broken the
BBWAA in real time 1947 elected four and came near to electing a
fifth. We will proceed apace, and our imaginary BBWAA elects Lefty
Grove and Gabby Hartnett. Our BBWAA also elects Charlie Gehringer in
1948. In 1949 we get Carl Hubbell. It is also decided about this
time that the burgeoning radio business and the announcers that work
on air deserve the same priviliges as print journalists, so the
broadcast guys are offered a chance to be BBWAA members.
The electees in our thought
exercise from the 1940s:
20th century
players: Sam Crawford, Eddie Plank, Harry Heilmann, Three-Finger
Brown, Frankie Frisch, Frank Baker, Mickey Cochrane, Bill Terry,
Goose Goslin, Burleigh Grimes, Red Faber, Eppa Rixey, Edd Roush,
Heinie Groh, Lefty Grove, Gabby Hartnett, Charlie Gehringer, Carl
Hubbell.
19th century
players: John M. Ward, Roger Connor, Pud Galvin, Dan Brouthers, Tim
Keefe, Billy Hamilton, John Clarkson, Jesse Burkett, Mickey Welch,
George Davis, Bid McPhee, Bill Dahlen, Jake Beckley, Jim O'Rourke,
Bobby Mathews.
Non-Players: Judge Landis.
Monday, August 04, 2014
Beginning a new series:
Baseball Hall of Fame
Alternative History Part 1
Anyone who follows the game
knows that a number of mistakes have been made in the history of Hall
of Fame balloting, both by the BBWAA and the various incarnations of
the Veterans' Committee. Let's imagine what might have happened if
better choices had been made, right from the beginning.
First, let's imagine that
the push to make a Hall of Fame for baseball was accompanied by a
push to compile an accurate record. So, a committee was established
to put together accurate statistics for the history of the game,
nearly thirty years before the actual Baseball Encyclopedia project.
Without computers this would proceed slower than it actually did, but
some benefits could be realized right away, especially with the 19th
century. And, since they were closer to the time, finding references and records could
actually have been easier for them.
The first vote was taken in
1936 and we will continue that timeline. That vote was by two
different groups; the general membership of the Baseball Writers
Association of America (BBWAA) voting on the 20th century
players, and another group (membership lost to history) to vote on
the 19th century. Let's postulate that the 19th
century group was better defined and chosen, composed of some
historians and other experts in the period, and that we avoid
confusion like both groups voting on some crossover players like Cy
Young as actually happened at the time.
So we will say this first
20th century group turns out the same as it did: the
election of that "first class," a classic of the genre,
with Ty Cobb, Honus Wagner, Babe Ruth, Walter Johnson, and Christy
Mathewson being selected. It really couldn't have gone much better
than that. Never mind that Ruth had only been retired a year and
would not have been eligible by today's rules, or that some active
players got votes. We'll clean that sort of stuff up as we go and
more quickly than the actual BBWAA did.
In real life the 19th
century committee couldn't focus on any candidates and ended up
electing no one: our imaginary group does better, and chooses the
four who got the most votes from the committee: Cap Anson, Buck
Ewing, Willie Keeler, and Cy Young. That's an equally fine group to
be the first choices of the old-timers. Only Young out of that group
was still alive by 1936 (or 1939, the first induction, for that
matter) but it works.
So we are underway, with
nine worthy representatives. A second ballot was taken in 1937;
Young was elected by the BBWAA then, but he's already in by the
Old-Timers in our alternate history, so we will suppose three players
are elected but not quite the same three. In our alternative Nap
Lajoie and Tris Speaker make it, as they did, but also Pete
Alexander, who finished 4th and came up a little short on
the original ballot. Also, the various committees made the first
non-player selections; managers John McGraw (who died in 1934) and
Connie Mack (Mack was still active), early player and manager George
Wright, and the first president of each league (National and
American) Morgan Bulkeley and Ban Johnson. We will stand by the
elections of these pioneers.
Apparently deterred by the
failure of the actual 19th century committee, that group
did not vote again. Its purpose was folded into the regular voting
by the BBWAA. We will instead suppose that our more effective group
continued for a second year and picked the next four on the original
voting list: Ed Delahanty, Old Hoss Radbourn, Herman Long, and King
Kelly. Long will be our first pick who is not in the actual Hall of
Fame in Cooperstown; he was a longtime shortstop, mostly with
Boston's NL club. This seems a reasonable expectation of what would
have happened had this committee been continued in the real world.
Moving on to 1938, actual
election winner Alexander is already in our Hall so we will look to
the next in line. Assuming the research has not had time to catch up
to our present levels, George Sisler (next in votes) will be elected,
as well as Eddie Collins. Both got a lot of support in real life.
Sisler is not as highly regarded today as he was then but a .340
career average and high peak got him recognized. Alexander
Cartwright and Henry Chadwick, two sportswriters who did a lot to
popularize the game and standardize rules, were also elected and we
will concur. Reaching back to the 19th century, we will
suppose our committee votes yet again, and picks Jimmy Collins and
Fred Clarke (even though Clarke was just as much a 20th
century player; he got votes from the committee initially). So far
we are doing pretty well.
Then comes 1939. The guys
actually elected by the BBWAA (Sisler, Collins, and Keeler) are
already in for us, so we will look at the next guys who drew support;
that would be Rogers Hornsby and Rube Waddell, so they get in for our
election. Waddell won just 193 career games and will become a
controversial selection in our imaginary exercise. Lou Gehrig was
also elected in a special vote after his illness was announced early
in the season, and we will do the same. Meantime the Old-Timers
committee made six selections; three are already in for us (Anson,
Ewing, and Radbourn) so we don't have to worry about them. We will
ignore the dubious selections of Charles Comiskey and Candy Cummings,
and go along with the pick of Al Spalding. He was the power behind
the throne for a good bit of baseball history, but we will choose him
as an early player rather than an executive. Our 19th
century committee will also pick up Kid Nichols and Amos Rusie, giving
us a nice roster for the first induction ceremony. To wit:
20th century
players: Ty Cobb, Honus Wagner, Babe Ruth, Walter Johnson, Christy
Mathewson; Nap Lajoie, Tris Speaker, Pete Alexander; George Sisler
and Eddie Collins; Rogers Hornsby and Rube Waddell, Lou Gehrig.
19th century
players: Cap Anson, Buck Ewing, Willie Keeler, Cy Young; Ed
Delahanty, Old Hoss Radbourn, Herman Long, and King Kelly; Jimmy
Collins and Fred Clarke; Kid Nichols and Amos Rusie.
Non-players/pioneers: John
McGraw, Connie Mack, George Wright, Morgan Bulkeley, Ban Johnson,
Alexander Cartwright, Henry Chadwick, Al Spalding.
That's a pretty storied
group, and a good representation of baseball history to 1939. In
real life, even though they had only actually put 26 rather than 33
in the Hall, the BBWAA decided not to vote again until 1942. That's
a mistake we will not repeat (partly because Cooperstown doesn't like
it: no inductees means fewer visitors) and also suppose that
research efforts are now bearing fruit.
To be continued!
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